Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-05-24 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 44.1%
FLA: 55.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.35
FLA: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | NYR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.969 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | FLA 3 - 2 NYR | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-29 | NYR 3 - 1 FLA | NYR | FLA |
| 2026-01-02 | FLA 1 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2025-04-14 | FLA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2024-12-30 | FLA 5 - 3 NYR | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:12 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 18:09 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 14:01 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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