New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-05-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 56.8%
NYR: 43.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.01
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | FLA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.789 | 0.973 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • FLA at home vs NYR: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | FLA 1 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2025-04-14 | FLA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2024-12-30 | FLA 5 - 3 NYR | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-24 | NYR 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | NYR |
| 2024-06-01 | FLA 2 - 1 NYR | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:50 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:17 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:42 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:46 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 05:35 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0