New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-05-26 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 56.1%

NYR: 43.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.15

NYR: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	2	1.86
1	NYR	9	0	0.41
2	FLA	13	0	0.55
2	NYR	9	1	1.27
3	FLA	25	1	2.03
3	NYR	6	1	0.82
4	FLA	7	0	0.18
4	NYR	4	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0