New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-05-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 51.8%
NYR: 48.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.94
NYR: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | FLA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.969 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | FLA 3 - 2 NYR | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-29 | NYR 3 - 1 FLA | NYR | FLA |
| 2026-01-02 | FLA 1 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2025-04-14 | FLA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2024-12-30 | FLA 5 - 3 NYR | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:50 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:17 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:42 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:46 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 05:35 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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