Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-05-23 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 44.4%

EDM: 55.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.34

EDM: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	9	0	0.60
1	EDM	9	0	0.51
2	DAL	15	0	1.14
2	EDM	17	2	1.14
3	DAL	11	0	0.34
3	EDM	19	1	1.06
4	DAL	18	0	1.11
4	EDM	11	1	0.63
5	DAL	0	0	0.00
5	EDM	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4