Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-05-29 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 49.5%
DAL: 50.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.15
DAL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | EDM | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.820 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | DAL 7 - 2 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:29 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:17 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:31 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:07 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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