Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-05-31 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 44.2%

EDM: 55.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.12

EDM: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	11	0	0.81
1	EDM	14	1	1.08
2	DAL	9	1	0.50
2	EDM	11	0	0.56
3	DAL	13	0	0.94
3	EDM	17	2	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2