Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 54.8%

FLA: 45.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.31

FLA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	21	2	2.06
1	FLA	14	0	0.97
2	EDM	20	1	1.39
2	FLA	14	2	1.13
3	EDM	11	0	0.54
3	FLA	10	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2