New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-04 • O2 Czech Republic

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 50.1%

NJD: 49.9%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.94

NJD: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	12	0	0.47
1	NJD	15	1	0.95
2	BUF	20	1	1.53
2	NJD	15	0	0.66
3	BUF	21	0	0.64
3	NJD	7	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1