🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-04 • O2 Czech Republic
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
BUF: 53.2%
NJD: 46.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.42
NJD: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 55%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
StatBUFNJD
Season SV%0.9060.884
Last 5 SV%0.8470.873
SV% vs Opponent0.783
GAA2.823.32
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-02-25NJD 1 - 2 BUFBUFNJD
2025-12-21NJD 1 - 3 BUFBUFNJD
2025-11-28BUF 0 - 5 NJDNJDNJD
2025-02-02BUF 4 - 3 NJDBUFNJD
2024-10-05NJD 3 - 1 BUFNJDNJD

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
108:39NJDGoal
115:38NJDGoal
203:29NJDGoal
310:07NJDGoal
317:28NJDGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0