New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-10-04 • O2 Czech Republic
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 50.0%
NJD: 50.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.72
NJD: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | BUF | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.783 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | NJD 1 - 2 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-12-21 | NJD 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | BUF |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4 - 3 NJD | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-05 | NJD 3 - 1 BUF | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 15:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 03:29 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 10:07 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 17:28 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1