St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-10-08 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 53.9%

STL: 46.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.67

STL: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	22	3	88.0%	2.42	1	-0.58
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	30	2	93.8%	2.87	1	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	1	1.35
1	STL	10	0	0.41
2	SEA	23	0	1.11
2	STL	20	0	1.14
3	SEA	8	0	0.41
3	STL	11	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0