Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-08 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

UTA: 54.6%

CHI: 45.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 4.23

CHI: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	26	24	2	92.3%	3.10	2	1.10
CHI	Petr Mrazek	27	22	5	81.5%	4.49	4	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs CHI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	UTA 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	UTA
2026-03-09	CHI 3 - 2 UTA	CHI	UTA
2026-03-01	UTA 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	UTA
2025-10-13	CHI 3 - 1 UTA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-30	CHI 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	1	0.99
1	CHI	7	0	0.23
2	UTA	17	0	0.90
2	CHI	16	1	1.47
3	UTA	17	3	2.60
3	CHI	21	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.3