New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-10-09 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 50.2%

NYR: 49.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.13

NYR: 3.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PIT at home vs NYR: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	20	0	1.26
1	NYR	18	2	1.18
2	PIT	17	0	1.26
2	NYR	21	1	1.52
3	PIT	14	0	0.48
3	NYR	19	4	2.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8