New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-10-09 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 45.2%
NYR: 54.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 1.65
NYR: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 3.6
Over 5.5: 27%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | PIT | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.951 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PIT at home vs NYR: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3 - 2 PIT | NYR | PIT |
| 2026-01-31 | PIT 6 - 5 NYR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-11 | PIT 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | PIT |
| 2025-10-07 | NYR 0 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-23 | PIT 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:23 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:48 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:35 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:59 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 6 New York Rangers
Expected: 1.6 - 3.4
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