Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-09 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 57.5%

WPG: 42.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.49

WPG: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs WPG: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	0	0.60
1	WPG	13	1	1.14
2	EDM	21	2	1.51
2	WPG	11	0	0.68
3	EDM	15	0	0.50
3	WPG	7	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.5 - 2.9