Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

BOS: 81.8%

MTL: 18.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.95

MTL: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • BOS at home vs MTL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	MTL 3 - 2 BOS	MTL	MTL
2026-01-24	BOS 4 - 3 MTL	BOS	BOS
2025-12-23	BOS 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	BOS
2025-11-15	MTL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	MTL
2025-04-03	MTL 4 - 1 BOS	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	1	1.15
1	MTL	11	0	0.68
2	BOS	13	0	1.15
2	MTL	9	0	0.64
3	BOS	10	0	0.92
3	MTL	23	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 8.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 5.0 - 3.5