Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-10-10 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 75.4%
MTL: 24.6%
Expected Goals
BOS: 4.95
MTL: 3.49
Total Goals
Median: 11.1
Over 5.5: 96%
Over 6.5: 92%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | BOS | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.876 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BOS at home vs MTL: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MTL 3 - 2 BOS | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-24 | BOS 4 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-23 | BOS 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | BOS |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | MTL |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4 - 1 BOS | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:26 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:18 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:24 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 18:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:56 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:43 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:00 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 8.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 4.9 - 3.5
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