Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 42.8%

FLA: 57.2%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.16

FLA: 2.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	20	1	1.21
1	FLA	15	0	0.68
2	OTT	9	0	0.27
2	FLA	13	0	0.65
3	OTT	11	1	1.00
3	FLA	24	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.2