Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

NJD: 26.4%

TOR: 73.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.95

TOR: 5.00

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs TOR: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	NJD 4 - 3 TOR	NJD	TOR
2025-12-30	TOR 4 - 0 NJD	TOR	TOR
2025-10-21	TOR 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	TOR
2025-01-16	TOR 4 - 3 NJD	TOR	TOR
2024-12-10	NJD 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.81
1	TOR	13	0	0.42
2	NJD	19	0	0.98
2	TOR	11	0	0.75
3	NJD	11	0	0.54
3	TOR	6	1	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 9.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.9 - 5.0