Utah Hockey Club at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

NYI: 39.6%

UTA: 60.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.26

UTA: 4.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	26	21	5	80.8%	3.19	4	-1.81
UTA	Connor Ingram	27	23	4	85.2%	3.05	1	-0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	NYI 2 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-14	UTA 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	UTA
2025-01-11	UTA 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	UTA
2024-10-10	NYI 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	1.12
1	UTA	11	1	1.27
2	NYI	10	0	0.56
2	UTA	15	0	0.85
3	NYI	14	1	1.37
3	UTA	9	1	0.53
4	NYI	0	0	0.00
4	UTA	3	2	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 4.3