Utah Hockey Club at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-10-10 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 37.6%
UTA: 62.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.02
UTA: 3.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NYI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.884 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | NYI 2 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-14 | UTA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2025-01-11 | UTA 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:01 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:03 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:52 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:37 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:53 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:06 | NYI | Goal |
| 4 | 02:18 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.7
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