St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 55.8%

STL: 44.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.24

STL: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	1	0.92
1	STL	27	2	1.76
2	SJS	21	1	1.50
2	STL	11	0	0.67
3	SJS	3	0	0.06
3	STL	15	0	1.01
4	SJS	0	0	0.00
4	STL	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8