Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-10-11 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

WPG: 71.1%

CHI: 28.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.85

CHI: 1.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	26	25	1	96.2%	2.35	2	1.35
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	35	33	2	94.3%	3.30	2	1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs CHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.59
1	CHI	9	1	0.65
2	WPG	15	1	1.02
2	CHI	23	1	0.96
3	WPG	21	1	1.60
3	CHI	13	0	0.69
4	WPG	1	0	0.09
4	CHI	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 1.8