Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-10-11 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

VAN: 29.5%

PHI: 70.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.49

PHI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-30	VAN 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-22	PHI 5 - 2 VAN	PHI	PHI
2024-10-19	PHI 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	PHI
2024-10-11	VAN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-28	VAN 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	1	1.33
1	PHI	12	0	0.78
2	VAN	10	0	0.29
2	PHI	8	1	0.68
3	VAN	18	0	0.75
3	PHI	17	2	1.48
4	VAN	3	0	0.10
4	PHI	2	0	0.16
5	VAN	5	1	1.02
5	PHI	5	2	2.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.5 - 2.7