Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-10-11 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 50.0%
PHI: 50.0%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.02
PHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | VAN | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.917 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs PHI: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | VAN 3 - 6 PHI | PHI | VAN |
| 2025-12-22 | PHI 5 - 2 VAN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-10-19 | PHI 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | PHI |
| 2024-10-11 | VAN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | VAN |
| 2023-12-28 | VAN 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:55 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 17:24 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 11:25 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:48 | VAN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 4.6
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.0 - 2.6