Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

BOS: 61.2%

LAK: 38.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.12

LAK: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	34	33	1	97.1%	3.32	3	2.32
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	24	2	92.3%	1.47	1	-0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2024-02-17	BOS 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	1	0.41
1	LAK	11	2	0.80
2	BOS	11	0	0.38
2	LAK	14	1	1.13
3	BOS	9	0	0.24
3	LAK	15	0	0.94
4	BOS	4	0	0.43
4	LAK	4	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4