Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 50.9%
FLA: 49.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.57
FLA: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | BUF | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.959 | 0.851 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | FLA 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | FLA |
| 2026-01-12 | BUF 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BUF |
| 2025-10-18 | BUF 3 - 0 FLA | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-04-12 | FLA 3 - 2 BUF | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-08 | FLA 4 - 0 BUF | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.6 - 3.3