Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (65% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 34.6%

NSH: 65.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.78

NSH: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 38%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	42	42	0	100.0%	4.76	5	4.76
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	19	3	86.4%	3.95	4	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	NSH 2 - 4 DET	DET	NSH
2025-11-26	DET 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	DET
2024-10-19	NSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	NSH
2024-10-12	DET 3 - 0 NSH	DET	NSH
2024-03-23	NSH 1 - 0 DET	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	1	1.24
1	NSH	19	1	1.55
2	DET	14	0	0.94
2	NSH	17	2	1.75
3	DET	8	3	1.76
3	NSH	19	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 2.3