Utah Hockey Club at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 50.5%
UTA: 49.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 4.38
UTA: 4.66
Total Goals
Median: 9.0
Over 5.5: 88%
Over 6.5: 81%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | NYR | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • NYR at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | NYR 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | NYR |
| 2025-11-22 | UTA 3 - 2 NYR | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-16 | UTA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | UTA |
| 2024-10-12 | NYR 5 - 6 UTA | UTA | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:43 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:48 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:02 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:38 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:18 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:59 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:59 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:05 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 9.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 4.4 - 4.7