Utah Hockey Club at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 50.3%

UTA: 49.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.80

UTA: 4.86

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 75%

Over 6.5: 61%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	NYR 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-22	UTA 3 - 2 NYR	UTA	UTA
2025-01-16	UTA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	UTA
2024-10-12	NYR 5 - 6 UTA	UTA	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	1	1.11
1	UTA	12	0	0.60
2	NYR	15	0	0.91
2	UTA	16	1	1.18
3	NYR	21	1	1.50
3	UTA	14	1	0.93
4	NYR	3	0	0.11
4	UTA	3	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 8.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.8 - 4.9