New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

WSH: 43.4%

NJD: 56.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.06

NJD: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WSH at home vs NJD: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	17	0	0.76
1	NJD	15	2	1.20
2	WSH	13	2	1.48
2	NJD	17	1	1.43
3	WSH	11	0	0.62
3	NJD	8	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2