New York Islanders at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 50.0%
NYI: 50.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.82
NYI: 1.10
Total Goals
Median: 3.6
Over 5.5: 22%
Over 6.5: 14%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.963 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • DAL at home vs NYI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | NYI 2 - 1 DAL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-18 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
| 2025-02-23 | NYI 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | NYI |
| 2024-10-12 | DAL 3 - 0 NYI | DAL | NYI |
| 2024-02-26 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:59 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 3.9
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 1.1
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