New York Islanders at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 50.4%
NYI: 49.6%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.14
NYI: 2.28
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DAL at home vs NYI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
| 2025-02-23 | NYI 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | NYI |
| 2024-10-12 | DAL 3 - 0 NYI | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-26 | DAL 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | DAL |
| 2024-01-21 | NYI 3 - 2 DAL | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:59 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.1 - 2.3