Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

MIN: 48.8%

SEA: 51.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.39

SEA: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	36	30	6	83.3%	4.83	5	-1.17
SEA	Joey Daccord	40	35	5	87.5%	3.84	4	-1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs SEA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	1	1.15
1	SEA	13	0	0.35
2	MIN	12	0	0.41
2	SEA	14	2	1.52
3	MIN	13	1	0.91
3	SEA	14	1	0.72
4	MIN	3	1	0.40
4	SEA	5	0	0.41
5	MIN	3	1	0.97
5	SEA	2	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.7