Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CGY: 67.2%

PHI: 32.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.24

PHI: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs PHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	CGY 5 - 1 PHI	CGY	CGY
2025-11-02	PHI 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	PHI
2025-03-04	PHI 3 - 6 CGY	CGY	PHI
2024-10-12	CGY 6 - 3 PHI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-06	PHI 3 - 2 CGY	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	1	0.78
1	PHI	28	0	1.45
2	CGY	12	1	0.94
2	PHI	16	0	0.87
3	CGY	19	2	2.15
3	PHI	12	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5