Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 66.7%

CHI: 33.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.94

CHI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	0	1.06
1	CHI	11	0	0.53
2	EDM	17	1	0.99
2	CHI	9	1	0.62
3	EDM	24	1	1.39
3	CHI	5	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9