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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 62.7%
CHI: 37.3%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.30
CHI: 3.70
Total Goals
Median: 8.2
Over 5.5: 81%
Over 6.5: 70%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
StatEDMCHI
Season SV%0.9060.909
Last 5 SV%0.8370.851
SV% vs Opponent0.9440.929
GAA2.732.63
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs CHI: 4-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-02EDM 3 - 1 CHIEDMEDM
2026-01-12CHI 1 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2025-11-01EDM 3 - 2 CHIEDMEDM
2025-02-05CHI 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2025-01-11CHI 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
115:50CHIGoal
204:55EDMGoal
210:19CHIGoal
213:58CHIGoal
305:35CHIGoal
310:01CHIGoal
319:13CHIGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.7