Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-10-14 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 48.9%

FLA: 51.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.88

FLA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	26	22	4	84.6%	2.34	2	-1.66
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	24	3	88.9%	2.02	1	-0.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	FLA
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	0	0.80
1	FLA	10	1	0.97
2	BOS	12	1	0.69
2	FLA	14	0	0.77
3	BOS	10	0	0.53
3	FLA	11	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9