Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-10-14 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 8 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

OTT: 61.8%

LAK: 38.2%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.60

LAK: 4.81

Total Goals

Median: 4.8

Over 5.5: 44%

Over 6.5: 36%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	26	19	7	73.1%	2.21	0	-4.79
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	41	33	8	80.5%	3.65	0	-4.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	OTT	17	0.85
1	LAK	8	0.62
2	OTT	21	1.07
2	LAK	15	0.74
3	OTT	19	1.56
3	LAK	12	0.74
4	OTT	2	0.16
4	LAK	1	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 15.0

Expected: 9.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 8 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 4.6 - 4.8