Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-10-14 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 84.2%
DET: 15.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.48
DET: 1.74
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 25%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.842 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs DET: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | NYR 4 - 1 DET | NYR | DET |
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1 - 2 DET | DET | NYR |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:58 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:05 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 84.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.5 - 1.7
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