Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-10-14 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 52.1%
DET: 47.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.58
DET: 1.80
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1 - 2 DET | DET | NYR |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | DET |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4 - 1 DET | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:58 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:05 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.6 - 1.8