New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-14 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 55.5%
NYI: 44.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.28
NYI: 4.08
Total Goals
Median: 9.3
Over 5.5: 89%
Over 6.5: 81%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | COL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:33 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:25 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:14 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:39 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:48 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 4.1
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