New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 65.4%

NYI: 34.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.32

NYI: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	NYI 6 - 3 COL	NYI	NYI
2025-11-16	COL 4 - 1 NYI	COL	COL
2025-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 COL	NYI	COL
2024-10-14	COL 2 - 6 NYI	NYI	COL
2024-01-02	COL 5 - 4 NYI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	0	1.27
1	NYI	19	2	1.56
2	COL	9	0	0.59
2	NYI	14	0	1.11
3	COL	22	0	1.67
3	NYI	11	2	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 8.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.3 - 3.7