Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2024-10-15 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

TBL: 68.5%

VAN: 31.5%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.48

VAN: 2.02

Total Goals

Median: 4.1

Over 5.5: 32%

Over 6.5: 21%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TBL at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	VAN 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-16	TBL 2 - 6 VAN	VAN	TBL
2024-12-08	VAN 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-15	TBL 4 - 1 VAN	TBL	TBL
2023-12-12	VAN 4 - 1 TBL	VAN	VAN

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:55	TBL	Goal
2	07:43	TBL	Goal
3	00:39	TBL	Goal
3	04:14	TBL	Goal
3	18:14	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.0