Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-10-15 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 50.8%
VGK: 49.2%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.68
VGK: 2.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | WSH | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • WSH at home vs VGK: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | VGK 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | VGK |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4 - 2 VGK | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-02 | VGK 4 - 1 WSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2023-11-14 | WSH 3 - 0 VGK | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:02 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 17:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 03:06 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:16 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 06:13 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:17 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.7 - 2.4