Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.3%

FLA: 50.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.92

FLA: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 37%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	22	18	4	81.8%	1.87	1	-2.13
FLA	Spencer Knight	38	35	3	92.1%	3.00	2	0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CBJ at home vs FLA: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	FLA 2 - 1 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2026-03-05	CBJ 4 - 2 FLA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-06	FLA 7 - 6 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2025-03-20	CBJ 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-06	FLA 3 - 0 CBJ	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	0	0.48
1	FLA	12	0	0.79
2	CBJ	24	1	1.35
2	FLA	9	0	0.49
3	CBJ	24	1	1.18
3	FLA	9	1	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0