Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-10-15 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 62.0%
MIN: 38.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.17
MIN: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | STL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs MIN: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | STL 6 - 3 MIN | STL | MIN |
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1 - 3 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-10-09 | STL 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6 - 4 STL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:50 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 07:52 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 00:46 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 10:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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