PIT vs BUF - 2024-10-16
2024-10-16 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 6 - 5 BUF
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 49.8%
BUF: 50.2%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.50
BUF: 3.82
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:43 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 03:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:01 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 15:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:26 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:38 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.3
Score Breakdown
PIT 6 - 5 BUF
Expected: 3.5 - 3.8