Utah Hockey Club at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-10-16 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 51.5%
UTA: 48.5%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.99
UTA: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | ANA | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.943 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | ANA 0 - 7 UTA | UTA | ANA |
| 2025-11-17 | ANA 3 - 2 UTA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-12 | UTA 3 - 2 ANA | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-22 | UTA 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | UTA |
| 2024-10-16 | ANA 5 - 4 UTA | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:40 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:54 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:06 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:52 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:21 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:50 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | ANA | Goal |
| 4 | 00:54 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 4.0 - 2.9