Utah Hockey Club at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-10-16 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

ANA: 59.5%

UTA: 40.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.91

UTA: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	26	4	86.7%	3.25	2	-0.75
UTA	Connor Ingram	34	29	5	85.3%	2.96	1	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	UTA 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	UTA
2025-12-03	ANA 0 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-17	ANA 3 - 2 UTA	ANA	UTA
2025-03-12	UTA 3 - 2 ANA	UTA	UTA
2024-12-22	UTA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.85
1	UTA	13	1	1.27
2	ANA	14	0	0.80
2	UTA	15	1	1.18
3	ANA	17	1	1.05
3	UTA	18	0	0.80
4	ANA	2	0	0.26
4	UTA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9