Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

MTL: 42.1%

LAK: 57.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.00

LAK: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	32	28	4	87.5%	3.59	1	-0.41
LAK	David Rittich	27	26	1	96.3%	2.15	1	1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	MTL
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	13	0	0.62
1	LAK	16	0	0.88
2	MTL	14	0	0.56
2	LAK	11	0	0.50
3	MTL	10	1	0.96
3	LAK	17	1	2.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0