New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 46.9%
NJD: 53.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.22
NJD: 3.47
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | OTT | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.921 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | NJD 4 - 3 OTT | NJD | OTT |
| 2026-01-31 | OTT 4 - 1 NJD | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-09 | OTT 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | OTT |
| 2025-03-22 | NJD 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2025-01-19 | NJD 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:26 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 12:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 18:55 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.2 - 3.5
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