New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 52.2%

NJD: 47.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.30

NJD: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 34%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	14	0	0.71
1	NJD	17	1	0.70
2	OTT	20	1	0.87
2	NJD	18	0	1.40
3	OTT	16	0	0.65
3	NJD	15	2	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1