New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 38.5%

NYR: 61.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.93

NYR: 3.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	34	29	5	85.3%	2.38	0	-2.62
NYR	Jonathan Quick	31	29	2	93.5%	2.97	1	0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	DET
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	24	1	1.67
1	NYR	12	0	0.57
2	DET	9	0	0.45
2	NYR	18	0	0.89
3	DET	15	0	0.85
3	NYR	15	0	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.8