Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 55.2%

VAN: 44.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.70

VAN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	30	3	90.9%	2.52	0	-0.48
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	28	26	2	92.9%	2.14	2	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • FLA at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	FLA
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.60
1	VAN	12	0	0.56
2	FLA	20	2	1.31
2	VAN	16	0	0.75
3	FLA	10	0	0.23
3	VAN	14	0	0.97
4	FLA	0	0	0.00
4	VAN	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0