Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CBJ: 59.1%

BUF: 40.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.52

BUF: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

BUF

D. Levi

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	24	20	4	83.3%	2.55	1	-1.45
BUF	D. Levi	25	19	6	76.0%	1.68	0	-4.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	CBJ 6 - 3 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.48
1	BUF	7	0	0.42
2	CBJ	12	0	0.69
2	BUF	13	0	1.20
3	CBJ	9	0	0.51
3	BUF	18	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0