New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

STL: 55.8%

NYI: 44.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.21

NYI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	NYI
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.32
1	NYI	9	0	0.38
2	STL	15	0	1.15
2	NYI	19	0	1.21
3	STL	9	1	0.59
3	NYI	12	0	0.63
4	STL	3	1	0.32
4	NYI	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9