New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.0%
NYI: 50.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.30
NYI: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | STL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | STL 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | NYI |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 02:04 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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