Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

NSH: 45.2%

EDM: 54.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.29

EDM: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	32	4	88.9%	3.61	3	-0.39
EDM	Calvin Pickard	27	25	2	92.6%	2.20	0	0.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NSH at home vs EDM: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.94
1	EDM	21	1	1.08
2	NSH	9	0	0.56
2	EDM	18	1	1.30
3	NSH	18	0	0.70
3	EDM	12	1	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.6