Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

SEA: 62.1%

PHI: 37.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.82

PHI: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

PHI

Ivan Fedotov - 6-13-4 | 0.880 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	21	4	84.0%	2.31	1	-1.69
PHI	Ivan Fedotov	29	23	6	79.3%	2.80	3	-3.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	0.88
1	PHI	16	0	0.75
2	SEA	21	2	1.51
2	PHI	9	0	0.61
3	SEA	8	0	0.41
3	PHI	16	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.8 - 3.1