Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-10-18 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PIT: 25.7%

CAR: 74.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 1.96

CAR: 3.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	9	0	0.31
1	CAR	14	1	0.92
2	PIT	10	1	0.71
2	CAR	25	0	1.82
3	PIT	18	2	1.88
3	CAR	16	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.0 - 3.8