Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-10-18 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PIT: 45.6%

CAR: 54.4%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.64

CAR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

PIT

J. Blomqvist

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	J. Blomqvist	38	34	4	89.5%	4.21	3	0.21
CAR	Frederik Andersen	26	25	1	96.2%	2.89	3	1.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	9	0	0.31
1	CAR	14	1	0.92
2	PIT	10	1	0.71
2	CAR	25	0	1.82
3	PIT	18	2	1.88
3	CAR	16	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2