San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-10-18 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 8 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 83.1%
SJS: 16.9%
Expected Goals
WPG: 5.77
SJS: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 11.6
Over 5.5: 97%
Over 6.5: 92%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | WPG | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.934 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs SJS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2 - 1 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-17 | SJS 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8 - 3 SJS | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:59 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 09:25 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 11:43 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 13:31 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 18:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 01:46 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 10:28 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 09:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 10:09 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 12:55 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:27 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 83.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 8.8
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 8 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 5.8 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.