Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

COL: 64.9%

ANA: 35.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.75

ANA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	19	16	3	84.2%	3.73	5	0.73
ANA	Lukas Dostal	49	45	4	91.8%	6.18	4	2.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	2	2.27
1	ANA	15	4	2.05
2	COL	23	0	1.70
2	ANA	5	0	0.26
3	COL	18	0	1.27
3	ANA	15	1	1.19
4	COL	6	2	0.94
4	ANA	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9