Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 51.2%
DET: 48.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.03
DET: 3.78
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NSH | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs DET: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
| 2023-12-29 | DET 5 - 4 NSH | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:48 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 13:26 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 03:17 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 00:32 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:29 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:18 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.8