Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 59.9%
DET: 40.1%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.83
DET: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NSH at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | DET | 15 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | NSH | 17 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | DET | 8 | 1 | 0.88 |
| 3 | NSH | 29 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 3 | DET | 12 | 3 | 2.10 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.8 - 3.1
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