Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 57.0%

EDM: 43.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.80

EDM: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	4	0	0.18
1	EDM	15	0	0.90
2	DAL	15	1	1.18
2	EDM	19	1	0.93
3	DAL	19	2	2.10
3	EDM	16	1	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 2.8